Lockdowns And The CDC Data

Lockdowns And The CDC Data

Lockdowns And The CDC Data

Lockdowns were supposed to “flatten the curve.” Yet here we are, in September, and the lockdowns continue. Did and do the lockdowns work?

“Six months into the Covid-19 pandemic, the U.S. has now carried out two large-scale experiments in public health—first, in March and April, the lockdown of the economy to arrest the spread of the virus, and second, since mid-April, the reopening of the economy. The results are in. Counterintuitive though it may be, statistical analysis shows that locking down the economy didn’t contain the disease’s spread and reopening it didn’t unleash a second wave of infections.

Considering that lockdowns are economically costly and create well-documented long-term public-health consequences beyond Covid, imposing them appears to have been a large policy error. At the beginning, when little was known, officials acted in ways they thought prudent. But now evidence proves that lockdowns were an expensive treatment with serious side effects and no benefit to society.”

The lockdowns continue to be economically costly on numerous levels. Thriving small businesses have watched their customer base dry up and far too many have now closed their doors for good. Live concerts have been banned. Restaurants all over the country are struggling and several thousand have closed for good. Want to go to the gym? You still can’t in most states. Churches are being told the First Amendment doesn’t count during the lockdowns. 

Never mind that, power-mad politicians continue to play games with peoples lives.

Oregon: Governor Kate Brown has extended the lockdown until NOVEMBER 3. 

“Now, six months after this crisis began, we have made progress. Together, we have slowed the spread of this disease. Oregon has one of the lowest mortality rates in the country. But, as students across Oregon begin a school year far different than any other before, it is clear that, at current COVID-19 levels, it will not be safe in much of the state for children to return to in-classroom instruction for months to come.

~Snip

“We have come this far together. And that’s the only way we’ll get through this –– working together, day by day, to keep each other healthy and safe until we reach the day that there is an effective vaccine or treatment for this disease.”

So, the lockdowns will continue until a vaccine is created that will cure all. Great. I’m sure Oregon wineries who utilized tasting rooms to help sell their product are thrilled that they have to stay closed. I’m sure all the parents whose kids are now learning from home are absolutely ecstatic about finding out school reopenings will happen exactly …never if Kate has her way. 

California: Darleen covered Newsom’s idiocy quite capably here. 

New York: Cuomo can prance around in public without a mask, and DeBlasio can issue edicts all he likes, but the economic cost to their game playing is climbing rapidly. People are leaving the city and state in droves. Moving companies are overwhelmed, and realtors across the country are getting calls from New Yorkers desiring to move ASAP. Meanwhile, property values in NYC are dropping like a rock. 

As the Wall Street Journal article above shows, the lockdowns are not only hurting the country economically, it didn’t necessarily work in halting the spread of this Wuhan virus. 

This is where the CDC numbers come into play. This is where the CDC tracking and how the deaths are classified has caused additional anger and mistrust from Americans who’ve been told to “listen to the experts” and we will survive!

First of all, we find out that the tests everyone has been taking are “too sensitive.” 

“Some of the nation’s leading public health experts are raising a new concern in the endless debate over coronavirus testing in the United States: The standard tests are diagnosing huge numbers of people who may be carrying relatively insignificant amounts of the virus.

Most of these people are not likely to be contagious, and identifying them may contribute to bottlenecks that prevent those who are contagious from being found in time. But researchers say the solution is not to test less, or to skip testing people without symptoms, as recently suggested by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Instead, new data underscore the need for more widespread use of rapid tests, even if they are less sensitive.”

Then we find out, through the CDC quietly changing it’s numbers last week, that the number of deaths attributed to the Covid virus ONLY is 6% of the total. SIX PERCENT. Does that make any of the other virus deaths with multiple underlying comorbidities any less sad and awful. NO. But the numbers revisions do not inspire confidence in how the response to the virus has been handled. 

The billing codes also tell an interesting story.

The hypocrisy surrounding the lockdowns and the regulations regarding the lockdowns is staggering and angering. Schools can’t reopen, but marches in Washington DC are acceptable. Hair salons in CA can’t reopen unless they can cut hair OUTSIDE, but riots in Portland are wonderful! Don’t play in parks, but riots are no big deal!

Is it any wonder that more and more Americans are saying ENOUGH?

Welcome Instapundit Readers!

Feature Photo Credit: Church photo by queven via Pixabay, cropped and modified

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11 Comments
  • Drew458 says:

    Thanks for the “pull forward” analysis pic. I knew there was a way to get to that, but I haven’t done statistics in decades. if it’s accurate: we can trim about a third off the co-mingled death numbers to find those where covid was sole or primary COD. Not that any of the panicked masses will listen, or stop blaming Trump for all of it.

    The billing code thing is eye opening too. Wonder how many less deaths would be counted as covid if the hospitals didn’t get extra money for them?

  • Drew458 says:

    Oops, I should have said two thirds, not one third. Someday, maybe there will be some unbiased medical research that can show how and why the ‘rona was such an accelerant. I’m no doctor, but I’ve never seen or heard of anything like this.

    A very harsh, heartless but pragmatic observation could be that this pandemic could save us all money in the long run; with so many of the seriously sick and old now out of the picture, the people long known to be the major consumers of health care, shouldn’t that result in lower costs for the rest of us? Or will Blue Cross et al just keep the extra profits for themselves? Or do these tragic numbers, large as they are, still not amount to a hill of beans in the overall big picture?

  • John says:

    Diagnostic Codes have consequences.

    When you reduce a complicated reality to a number input into a computer system, you introduce inaccuracy and distortion. Then if you introduce incentives, you get all of those inaccuracies and distortions breaking in the same direction.

    Soon you have altered the perception of reality, and rational, good-meaning people make counterproductive decisions because they are reacting to that false perception.

    This is just one of the many reasons to despise the Affordable Care Act. The automation of decision making has led to some profoundly negative results, with Trillions of dollars wasted, Millions of lives ruined, and Tens of Thousands of people dead.

  • GSR says:

    Giant policy mistake – perhaps but more likely, state-run that is Democrat governor state-run lockdowns to hurt the good economy we had and thus diminish Trump’s chances of re-election.

    Plan-demic.

  • Ann in L.A. says:

    The 6% number is being wildly misinterpreted out there. If a healthy person gets covid and gets pneumonia as a complication, their death certificate will read covid + pneumonia, which is not counted in the 6%. Likewise with respiratory failure. My cousin landed in the hospital for a week because covid caused him to be unable to eat or drink for so long, his kidneys shut down. Some of the kidney failure deaths should also not be considered a previously existing comorbidity.

    Since no one actually dies of “covid”, they die of cytokine storm, respiratory distress, vascular issues, etc., the 6% number really means lazy doctors not filling out the death certificate accurately and completely.

    • GWB says:

      I think a goodly chunk of the numbers “mean lazy doctors” (or bureaucrats) being inaccurate or incomplete.

      • Sineater says:

        The numbers were influenced by the fact that additional federal money is paid for Covid 19 patients and even more additional federal money is paid for Covid 19 patients on respirators.
        Since some medical professionals and studies indicate respirators may have a fatal effect on a percentage of Covid 19 patients, this may have caused unnecessary death. There are at least three instances documented where patients who clearly died of other causes were listed as Covid deaths. One was a fatal gunshot wound to the head and the other two were stage four cancer deaths after lingering illness in hospice.

  • GWB says:

    Governor Kate Brown has extended the lockdown until NOVEMBER 3.
    That’s not transparently political AT ALL, I’m sure! LOL

    at current COVID-19 levels, it will not be safe
    That’s idiotic. Unless you’re a Zero Risk Safetyist. Which is an idiotic thing to be.

    realtors across the country are getting calls from New Yorkers desiring to move ASAP.
    Don’t bring your commie voting crap HERE! You broke it, you bought it! You’re getting EXACTLY what you voted for!

    Hair salons in CA can’t reopen unless they can cut hair OUTSIDE
    Or they’re taking care of one of the Important People class!

  • […] Overkill, also, Man Surprised To Discover The Pentagon Is Technologically Backwards Victory Girls: Lockdowns & The CDC Data Volokh Conspiracy: The Statutory Authority For The Nationwide Eviction Moratorium Weasel Zippers: […]

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