Will Trump’s New Campaign Manager help?
Will Trump’s New Campaign Manager help?
A new campaign manager for Trump 2020 may be just what is needed to help reverse low poll numbers, bad optics, and refresh this campaign. Will this save us from a Biden presidency?
The most recent polls show that Trump is significantly trailing Biden. In, “Biden Beats Trump on Economy in New Poll” Newsweek writes,
Trump’s strongest card, the economy, shredded by a killer virus, may have left the president with no go—to issue or trait to stave off defeat,”
He’s trailing in major categories and, according to polling aggregate FiveThirtyEight.com, his disapproval rating varies between +2-+27%. While polling data can be skewed, FiveThirtyEight also shares bias of each polling group. So it isn’t enough to say that the polling is biased against the President, when polling organizations that lean conservative are still “+” in the disapproval column.
Is this previous campaign manager to blame? Trump must think so. Brad Parscale wrote in a recent Washington Post opinion piece, “Trump is beating Biden on the most important factor in this campaign“,
And when it comes to the most important factor, enthusiasm, President Trump is dominating. The unprecedented enthusiasm behind the president’s reelection efforts stands in stark contrast to the flat, almost nonexistent enthusiasm for Biden.”
Unfortunately, the numbers don’t support that assertion. In fact, according to FiveThirtyEight. com, any advantage Trump enjoys in enthusiasm is countered in excitement by people to vote against him.
while Biden voters may not be all that excited about voting for Biden, they’re very enthusiastic about voting against Trump. And that gives Biden a pretty strong edge, because Trump supporters don’t despise Biden the way they despised Hillary Clinton in 2016.”
Registered voters with negative opinions of both Trump and Biden preferred Biden to Trump by a whopping 23-point margin in the polling Nationscape conducted in June. They also rated Biden less negatively overall, with only 33 percent of this group saying they had a very unfavorable opinion of Biden compared to 62 percent who said the same of Trump.”
A president with a booming economy, has tremendous leeway. Citizens will overlook a lot of undesirable characteristics and failings when their pockets have cash, and their retirement plans are growing. Bill Clinton’s campaign strategist, James Carville, coined the infamous, “the economy stupid!” line.
He was right then, and still is today.
Trump had a raging economy. Before COVID forced the abrupt shutdown of the world. Unfortunately, the economy was his ace, in an otherwise subtle hand. Americans of all colors and classes were the beneficiaries of low unemployment, growing wages, and hope for a brighter future. The government had record tax receipts, and looked well on its way to restoring the economy. Remarkable accomplishments in any administration, but especially so in one that came from outside the DC bubble (and has some internal “bumps”).
Along with the lagging economy and rising unemployment, there is a serious push for social, cultural, and governmental change. I can’t think of another president who has had to deal with such a rapid and diverse set of issues under the hyper-partisan media microscope.
Or another president who has done it so poorly. Trump needs a social media manager, a crisis manager, and a publicist. Each one responsible for blocking his access from twitter and the news. A 300 pound Zen master, Sumo wrestler to blockade him from rash responses to every criticism. Really. He’s his own worst enemy and provides far too much ammunition to his detractors.
Crap like this is unnecessary. Especially during a crisis.
No matter how we feel about COVID responses, we are each directly impacted by them. I have three kids who may or may not return for in person school this year. I’m stressed about managing their schooling from home, especially when our decision to send them back was usurped by the local medial authority for our county. Aside from this, I have it comparatively easy. There is no concern about job security or a paycheck, or funding my IRA and the kids 529 plans.
But it doesn’t mean I want to watch my president pick a fight over a can of beans. I know he can’t directly fix my issues, but I’d like to think he’s doing more than tweeting out pop-shots at his detractors. Optics are important. Maybe he needs to remember this Maya Angelou quote, “People will forget what you said, people will forget what you did, but people will never forget how you made them feel.”
Please, Mr. President, remember the big middle of the road voters. Stop making it so hard to justify voting for you. Be the president I WANT to vote for, with more purpose than just stopping Creepy Joe.
Bill Stepien is a veteran political operative, used to larger than life politicians, and has many successful national and state elections to his credit.
And he comes with some baggage. Most notably New Jersey’s “Bridgegate” under Chris Christie. Fox News reports,
Christie removed Stepien just days after naming him New Jersey’s GOP chairman in January 2014 in connection with the “Bridgegate” scandal, which involved traffic-causing lane closures on the George Washington Bridge in an act of political revenge.”
Remember the optics? Trump has some history with previous campaign managers (Paul Manafort, and Corey Lewandowski) being portrayed as underhanded, and even criminal. The media is biased, and they are going to latch on to Stepien’s issues during his time in New Jersey. When entire groups of people (the media) are working against you, it’s important to stay above reproach.
Stepien, in May 2020, was promoted from a senior political adviser on the campaign, to deputy campaign manager under Parscale. Hopefully the campaign will benefit from his history and experience, while looking at it with a refreshed perspective to shift into a winning direction.
We wish you the best of luck, and really don’t want to spend the next 4 years writing about Gropin’ Joe Biden and his Co-President, Perfecta’ Vagena O’Color.
Featured Image: Official WH Portrait via WikiMedia. License: Public Domain Image Croppped 400×400