Is Ted Cruz starting to land enough punches to take out Donald Trump?
Statistician Nate Silver of the website FiveThirtyEight tweeted this late in the day on Super Saturday:
If you're reporting this as anything other than a huge night for Cruz and a terrible one for Trump, you're doing it wrong.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 5, 2016
Ted Cruz won Maine by 13 points, and while he lost to Trump in Louisiana and Kentucky, the FiveThirtyEight wonks found that the gap between Trump and Cruz was much more of a squeaker than the TV networks originally thought, especially in Louisiana. Trump beat Cruz by only 3.7 points in Louisiana and 4.3 points in Kentucky.
He'll probably hold on, but the networks wouldn't have called Louisiana for Trump had they known what we know now: https://t.co/rcWWpzOtjj
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) March 6, 2016
The big Super Saturday news for Ted Cruz, however, was his smashing of Donald Trump in the Kansas caucuses. Cruz won the state by double digits, 48% to Trump’s 23%.
The actual numbers of caucus voters in Kansas are staggering.
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